Interview with
Omar El Harini, chair of the Multilateral
Fund for the Implementation of the Montreal
Protocol.
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| "In
50 years the deterioration of the ozone
layer will begin to heal " |
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| Editor's Desk/Tierramérica |
The ozone layer, which protects us from the
sun's harmful ultraviolet rays, continues
to deteriorate at a dramatic pace. So much
so that scientists around the world are sounding
the alarm about the rapid expansion of the
hole in the ozone over the Antarctic and the
formation of a new hole over the North Pole.
In 1987 the world took an historic step by
signing the Montreal Protocol to control the
production and consumption of chemicals that
deplete the ozone layer, including chlorofluorocarbons
(CFCs), halons and carbon tetrachloride. The
progress made was enough that by 1996 the
industrialized world had eradicated the production
of CFCs.
But there is still much left to be done in
order to reverse the damage already done to
the earth's atmosphere. While many nations,
especially developing countries, are still
struggling to implement the Protocol, some
regions, such as Europe, propose to accelerate
the timetables for eliminating certain chemicals,
as well as banning new substances like bromochloroethane.
In a crucial chapter of the discussion and
coinciding with International Day for the
Preservation of the Ozone Layer, September
16, Omar El Harini, chair of the Multilateral
Fund for the Implementation of the Montreal
Protocol, answered some of Tierramérica's
questions.
The Egyptian-born scientist points out that
the depletion of the ozone layer will begin
a turnaround in the middle of this century,
and that the fundamental decisions are in
the hands of the Parties to the Montreal Protocol
on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer,
that are to meet in December at a crucial
conference in Burkina Faso.
TIERRAMERICA:
There is scientific evidence that an Arctic
ozone hole might be forming and that the Arctic
ozone losses may be larger than expected,
thus complicating the recovery of the ozone
layer globally.
Do you think humankind will be able to achieve
the goal of the recovery of the ozone layer?
EL HARINI: Monitoring of the state of the
stratospheric ozone layer involves several
scientific and technical undertakings. Among
these is measuring the extent of chlorine
(and bromine) loading, which is responsible
for the chemical destruction of ozone in the
upper stratosphere. The result of such measurements
indicate that the growth in the concentration
of chlorine and bromine has been arrested
due to the phase out of the consumption and
production of chlorofluorocarbons and bromofluorocarbons
by the vast majority of industrialized countries,
as well as the ongoing programme of the Multilateral
Fund in some 121 developing countries.
The ozone scientists have informed that the
depletion of the ozone layer, which causes
the ozone holes, will begin to heal towards
the middle of the new century. The only way
to sustain the stabilization of the damage
to the ozone layer before it begins to heal
is to be vigilant in our resolve in the implementation
of the Montreal Protocol and of its amendments
by all Parties.
The progress made under the Montreal Protocol
to control the ozone destroying chemicals
has been very important during the last decade,
but, is it enough?
Is it necessary to list new ozone depleting
substances, to tighten existing phase out
schedules or add new controls under the Protocol?
-There is never enough of a good thing! The
success of the Montreal Protocol has indeed
resulted in arresting, over a short period
of time, the cause of the damage to the ozone
layer. This short period has been characterized
by controlling more ozone depleting substances
and by tightening the control measures.
The
European Commission has proposed bans for
virtually all remaining HCFC uses by 2015,
and controls of the CFC production under the
Protocol.
Considering the original deadlines (2030 for
developed countries and 2040 for developing
nations) is it possible?
-This issue will be discussed at the next
meeting of the Parties in Burkina Faso. Developing
countries have just begun to use transitional
chemicals in their industries. Some substitutes
came into the market that could have been
used instead of HCFCs had they been introduced
earlier. Some developing countries still opt
for HCFCs use inspite of the presumption of
the Executive Committee against these substances.
This is driven more by prevailing circumstances
in a country or in an industrial sector. I
do not see why HCFCs could not be replaced
after a reasonable period of time perhaps
even by 2015 - due to the future introduction
of other chemicals or technologies that could
be used instead of HCFCs without upsetting
the production facility and without unnecessary
capital abandonment.
Should
the bromochloroethene be controlled under
the Protocol?
-The Montreal Protocol in its Technology and
Assessment Panel and its Technical Option
Committees has an excellent scientific facility
to give an advice of that nature to the Parties
to the Protocol.
June 30, 2000 was the deadline for the developing
countries to freeze CFC emissions at average
1995-1997 levels.
Have they done it? Are there any exceptions?
-In a recent analysis undertaken by the Fund
Secretariat, we reported to the 31st Meeting
of the Executive Committee (July 2000) and
to the 24th Meeting of the Implementation
Committee (July 2000), that based on the available
information, most of the Article 5 countries
that reported data to the Fund and Ozone Secretariats
will be able to be in compliance with the
1999/2000 freeze in the consumption and production
of Group I, Annex A substances.
We will be sure only in 2001, when the 2000
data will have been reported to the Ozone
Secretariat under Article 7 of the Protocol,
whether all Article 5 countries came in compliance.
The exception are those countries that have
received massive assistance from the Multilateral
Fund but their projects are slow in implementation
and their imports of CFCs have not been restricted.
Other countries that did not receive but little
assistance from the Fund have been slow in
taking administrative measures to limit the
consumption of CFCs. Both groups of countries
have been slated for inclusion in the 2001
business plan of the Multilateral Fund which
will be considered at the next meeting of
the Executive Committee in Burkina Faso.
The
developing world must now work to achieve
a 50 percent out of the CFC emissions by 2005
and a complete phase out by 2010.
Do you think developing nations have the technological
and financial capacity they need to achieve
this goal?
-With the existing cooperation between the
developing and developed countries within
the framework of the Multilateral Fund, and
if this cooperation continues I am hopeful
that developing countries will be able to
meet their obligations under the Montreal
Protocol.
The
Multilateral Fund approved new funding for
the development of US $40.5 million for 135
projects and activities in 31 countries. Is
this enough to achieve the goals?
-These approvals constitute approximately
one fourth of what the Executive Committee
planned to commit during 2000.
What
should the international community expect
from the meeting of the Parties which will
be held in Burkina Faso in December?
-Decisions that can be implemented by all
Parties for the protection of the ozone layer.
For more information, please contact to:
http://www.unep.ch/ozone/montreal.htm
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