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Dialogues


"If the climate isn't stabilized, the ozone hole will never close"

By Sandra Guijarro Vilela*

Scientist Bedrich Magas lives in Punta Arenas, in southern Chile, where the thinning of the ozone layer is a dangerous reality. From his office there, he warns that this is a serious problem that could worsen as a result of the greenhouse effect.

PUNTA ARENAS, Chile - For many, the hole in the Earth's stratospheric ozone layer is solely the result of emissions of volatile chemicals from human activities, particularly the famous chlorofluorocarbons, or CFCs, used in refrigerators and aerosols. But not according to Bedrich Magas.

From his office at the Engineering School at the University of Magallanes, in Punta Arenas, 2,000 km south of Santiago, this Chilean scientist of Croatian origin says climate change - caused by the carbon dioxide emissions from the burning of fossil fuels - also hurts the ozone layer. And if the climate is not stabilized, he warns, "we run the risk of reaching a point of no return in which the hole will never close."

Magas is one of the world's leading experts on the process of the thinning of the ozone layer, commonly described as a hole, over Antarctica. His opinions and studies have been an important point of reference on the matter for scientists and politicians worldwide.

"Today it is essential to stabilize the climate through aggressive and immediate action. The reduction of the ozone layer means a significant rise in ultraviolet radiation, which has a direct impact on the production of food and heightens the risk of new bacteria that we are not accustomed to," he says in an exclusive dialogue with Tierramérica, speaking from his office in Chile's extreme south.

- TIERRAMERICA: How does climate change affect the ozone hole?
- MAGAS: The destruction of ozone in the stratosphere is due to the catalytic action of the chlorofluorocarbons, but also to a greater abundance of stratospheric ice clouds, which arise from the cooling of the upper layers of the atmosphere, part of the greenhouse effect. As a result, until the climate is stabilized with respect to the greenhouse effect, we run the risk of reaching the point of no return in which the ozone hole will never close.

- How can we halt the thinning of the ozone layer?
- We must eliminate the emissions of chloride compounds and halt global warming (by reducing the emissions of so-called greenhouse gases, which largely come from the burning of fossil fuels by industry and automobiles). But without the political will to control climate change, the stratosphere will continue to cool, with the risk that ozone holes could appear over more populous regions. The concentration of chlorine is high at all latitudes and it is only a matter of time before the ice clouds begin to form in other locations.

- They say that the ozone hole over Antarctica this year is smaller than it was during the 2000 cycle. Is that true?
- False. The phenomenon is lasting a longer time, meaning the volume of ozone destroyed this year sets a historic record, and continues to worsen, regardless of what they say.

- A great deal is said about the negative effects of ultraviolet (UV) radiation on human skin. But does it cause other problems?
- More UV radiation is reaching the planet, energy that is capable of separating proteins, of breaking DNA chains, generating new viruses or mutations. If there is a change in the light, the photosynthesis process is modified, disturbing all green ecosystems. Also, the human immune response system is lessened because, in the long term, UV radiation inhibits and blocks the functioning of cells that alert the immune system when an infection exists.

- How do such mutations occur?
- The UV rays are capable of altering genes, and thus modifying organisms. A mutation is consolidated in three or more generations. Human generations are decades long, but bacteria can consolidate changes within a short time because of their short life cycles. I don't care what others say, but all of these new colds and strange illnesses are very likely the consequence of some alteration in the DNA of the viruses.

- It was said that in Punta Arenas the sheep were going blind due to UV radiation, but then it was found that they had some sort of eye infection.
- Nothing was proven definitively. If the animals have low defenses due to UV radiation, for example, and there are microorganisms present, like the bovine keratoconjunctivitis bacteria, then the bacteria takes advantage of the situation. They did not make the necessary correlations.

- How does UV radiation affect food production?
- Small changes in UV radiation drastically reduce the yields of rice and other paddy crops. Photobiologists have documented major reductions in Antarctic phytoplankton populations, and several years ago, the University of Maryland conducted a study with soy: 40 percent more radiation reduced production by 20 percent. Even without genetic mutations, burns or skin cancer, there is a danger of reduced production of food.

- There are some who consider you an "eco-terrorist". How do you feel about that description?
- In 1987, people said I was crazy, but I must be cured because now they are saying I was right. Once you explain that if we compressed all the ozone that there is between sea level and infinity, it does not measure more than 3.2 mm, and that this is what we must save to protect ourselves from becoming extinct, then they don't think you're so crazy.

* Journalist Sandra Guijarro Vilela is a Tierramérica contributor.


Copyright © 2001 Tierramérica. Todos los Derechos Reservados
 

Photo: Bedrich Magas
 
Photo: Bedrich Magas