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Playing for Our Lives

By Achim Steiner and Yvo de Boer*

Governments of the world will gather in Kenya in November to discuss new ways to help the South adapt to climate change.

NAIROBI, Oct 23 (Tierramérica) - Children on one of southern Africa's mightiest rivers are playing the Limpopo board game, literally for their lives. Piloted in places like Zimbabwe's Matabeleland and Mozambique's Gaza Province, it uses the power of play to teach ways of reducing vulnerability to flooding.

If a counter lands on a space showing a well designed flood-proof village -- or one advising children to move themselves and livestock to higher ground -- it moves forward several spaces. But if it alights on one depicting a decimated forest, land degradation, or other factors increasing vulnerability, it must go back six.

The game -- part of a larger project, funded by the Global Environment Facility (GEF), launched after the devastating Limpopo floods six years ago -- underlines in a simple but poignant way the challenges developing countries face as they try to adapt to the extreme weather events linked to climate change.

In early November, nations meet in Nairobi, Kenya, for the next round of climate change talks under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and its Kyoto Protocol.

The Kyoto Protocol, adopted in 1997, established targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions in industrialized countries at five percent below the level of 1990 in the period 2008-2012. It created a framework of incentives for the transition to a low-carbon economy, directing investment decisions of the business towards climate-friendly options.

The Protocol links to the developing world: the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), which allows developed countries to invest in sustainable development projects in developing countries to earn emission credits (for example forestry and renewable energy projects ), has burst into life.

By 2012, certified emission reductions achieved through the CDM are expected to reach at least 1.2 billion tons, more than the combined emissions of Spain and the United Kingdom.

The industrialized countries as a group are still on track to meet their Kyoto commitments, provided they make a more extensive effort domestically, and make active use of the market mechanisms of the Kyoto Protocol. It is clear, however, that in the long run deeper emission cuts will be required.

But past pollution from industrialized countries has already guaranteed us some climate change: carbon dioxide, after all, can persist in the atmosphere for up to 200 years. So the global community must help developing countries adapt.

Least Developed Countries have -- or are preparing -- National Adaptation Programs of Action (NAPAs) under the UNFCCC. Take Malawi, where almost every facet of life will need some measure of "climate proofing". Droughts and floods have increased in intensity, frequency and magnitude over the past few decades.

Floods destroyed fish ponds six years ago, while a drought in the mid-1990s triggered a total loss of fish stocks in Lake Chilwa. Malawi's NAPA calls for restocking, assistance in fish breeding, and better understanding of how temperatures disrupt the reproduction of key species.

Funding for adaptation is starting to accumulate as a result of investments in the CDM and voluntary pledges to a special fund established to finance the implementation of NAPA activities. However, these resources must be augmented if they are to have measurable results in the poorest countries of the world.

Scientists estimate that a 60- to 80-percent cut in greenhouse gases will be needed to stabilize the atmosphere. We must keep our sights set firmly on this target. Otherwise everyone, rich and poor alike, will have more and more pressure to adapt and fewer places to adapt to and from. They will end up playing their own versions of the Limpopo River game -- and, like the children on its banks, playing for their very lives.

* Steiner is Executive Director of the United Nations Environment Program and De Boer is Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.


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